The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$144,997 Vol.

June Meeting
1%

July Meeting
7%

September Meeting
17%

October Meeting
14%
$144,997 Vol.

June Meeting
1%

July Meeting
7%

September Meeting
17%

October Meeting
14%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting caution amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year on surging energy prices, while core measures eased modestly. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed nonfarm payrolls rising a subdued 115,000 with unemployment unchanged at 4.3%, underscoring labor market resilience without overheating. Trader consensus prices low hike probabilities, anchored by the Fed's data-dependent stance and brokerages forecasting steady rates through mid-2026. Key catalysts include tomorrow's April CPI release on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could elevate rate hike risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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