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FOMC mga prediksiyon at odds

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Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

99%

No change

$112M Vol.

$2M today

$16M Liq.

11

Ends in 10 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

93%

No change

$9M Vol.

$168K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

80%

No change

$4M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$652K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

92%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$914K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

98%

Good Afternoon

$115K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

69%

1

$50.8K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

79%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$7.5K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

27%

October Meeting

$31.4K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

35%

0 (0 bps)

$20M Vol.

$143K today

$1M Liq.

55

Ends in 9 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

37%

3.5%

$6M Vol.

$350K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

66%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$180K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

71%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$226K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%

$102K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

32%

$334 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

71%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$108K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

8%

$52.5K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

45%

May 15–22

$14.9K Vol.

$56.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

32%

No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn

$63.4K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

62%

$409 Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng FOMC.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 118 aktibong markets para sa FOMC na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Fed decision in April?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $155.6M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Fed decision in April?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Fed decision in April?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 99% na tsansa sa No change. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa FOMC predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.