Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 78.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting bets on midterm headwinds for Republicans after Trump's narrow 2024 presidential victory in the state, where the president's party historically underperforms. Recent March TIPP likely-voter polls (n=1,175) show tight general matchups, with Mandela Barnes leading Tom Tiffany 43%-41%, Sara Rodriguez ahead 44%-41%, but Tiffany topping Francesca Hong 43%-40%; earlier surveys like Patriot Polling have Tiffany up 46%-42% over Hong. GOP primary polls give Tiffany (U.S. Rep.) commanding leads (35-65%), while Democrats' crowded field sees Hong and Barnes atop fragmented support amid 60%+ undecided voters per Marquette (late March). Primaries on August 11 could clarify nominees and shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$67,915 ปริมาณ
$67,915 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
79%
Republican
16%
$67,915 ปริมาณ
$67,915 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$11,449 ปริมาณ
79%
Republican
$56,466 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 78.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting bets on midterm headwinds for Republicans after Trump's narrow 2024 presidential victory in the state, where the president's party historically underperforms. Recent March TIPP likely-voter polls (n=1,175) show tight general matchups, with Mandela Barnes leading Tom Tiffany 43%-41%, Sara Rodriguez ahead 44%-41%, but Tiffany topping Francesca Hong 43%-40%; earlier surveys like Patriot Polling have Tiffany up 46%-42% over Hong. GOP primary polls give Tiffany (U.S. Rep.) commanding leads (35-65%), while Democrats' crowded field sees Hong and Barnes atop fragmented support amid 60%+ undecided voters per Marquette (late March). Primaries on August 11 could clarify nominees and shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,915วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 78.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting bets on midterm headwinds for Republicans after Trump's narrow 2024 presidential victory in the state, where the president's party historically underperforms. Recent March TIPP likely-voter polls (n=1,175) show tight general matchups, with Mandela Barnes leading Tom Tiffany 43%-41%, Sara Rodriguez ahead 44%-41%, but Tiffany topping Francesca Hong 43%-40%; earlier surveys like Patriot Polling have Tiffany up 46%-42% over Hong. GOP primary polls give Tiffany (U.S. Rep.) commanding leads (35-65%), while Democrats' crowded field sees Hong and Barnes atop fragmented support amid 60%+ undecided voters per Marquette (late March). Primaries on August 11 could clarify nominees and shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,915วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 78.5% implied probability to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting bets on midterm headwinds for Republicans after Trump's narrow 2024 presidential victory in the state, where the president's party historically underperforms. Recent March TIPP likely-voter polls (n=1,175) show tight general matchups, with Mandela Barnes leading Tom Tiffany 43%-41%, Sara Rodriguez ahead 44%-41%, but Tiffany topping Francesca Hong 43%-40%; earlier surveys like Patriot Polling have Tiffany up 46%-42% over Hong. GOP primary polls give Tiffany (U.S. Rep.) commanding leads (35-65%), while Democrats' crowded field sees Hong and Barnes atop fragmented support amid 60%+ undecided voters per Marquette (late March). Primaries on August 11 could clarify nominees and shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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