Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the May 12, 2026, Newark general election, driven by his three-term record of touted progress in public safety, education under local control, and economic development, as highlighted in his April 1 State of the City address. Facing eight low-profile challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline—none viewed as credible threats in a non-partisan race with potential June 9 runoff—Baraka benefits from strong name recognition and organizational advantages in a low-turnout contest. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a late scandal, voter mobilization against incumbency, or turnout surge among opposition bases could narrow the gap before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%
Douglas Davis 1.4%
Tanisha Garner <1%
$18,291 ปริมาณ
$18,291 ปริมาณ
Ras Baraka
96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Nasheedah Singleton
<1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.4%
Douglas Davis 1.4%
Tanisha Garner <1%
$18,291 ปริมาณ
$18,291 ปริมาณ
Ras Baraka
96%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Douglas Davis
1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Nasheedah Singleton
<1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the May 12, 2026, Newark general election, driven by his three-term record of touted progress in public safety, education under local control, and economic development, as highlighted in his April 1 State of the City address. Facing eight low-profile challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline—none viewed as credible threats in a non-partisan race with potential June 9 runoff—Baraka benefits from strong name recognition and organizational advantages in a low-turnout contest. While odds reflect skin-in-the-game certainty, a late scandal, voter mobilization against incumbency, or turnout surge among opposition bases could narrow the gap before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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