Incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the Tennessee's 9th Congressional District Democratic primary, buoyed by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising including corporate PAC contributions, and narrow lead in a March Data for Progress poll (45%-44% over Justin Pearson among 354 likely voters). Challenger Pearson, at 39%, gains from progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats, Indivisible Memphis, and PAL PAC, plus national profile from his 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and re-election as part of the "Tennessee Three," appealing to younger and Black voters in the Memphis-based district. A New York Times profile last week highlighted the generational divide—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson at 31—keeping the August 6 contest competitive. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at 4% with minimal traction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 58%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
58%
Justin Pearson
39%
DeVante Hill
4%
Steve Cohen 58%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
$4,801 ปริมาณ
58%
Justin Pearson
$1,515 ปริมาณ
39%
DeVante Hill
$393 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the Tennessee's 9th Congressional District Democratic primary, buoyed by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising including corporate PAC contributions, and narrow lead in a March Data for Progress poll (45%-44% over Justin Pearson among 354 likely voters). Challenger Pearson, at 39%, gains from progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats, Indivisible Memphis, and PAL PAC, plus national profile from his 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and re-election as part of the "Tennessee Three," appealing to younger and Black voters in the Memphis-based district. A New York Times profile last week highlighted the generational divide—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson at 31—keeping the August 6 contest competitive. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at 4% with minimal traction.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,710วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the Tennessee's 9th Congressional District Democratic primary, buoyed by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising including corporate PAC contributions, and narrow lead in a March Data for Progress poll (45%-44% over Justin Pearson among 354 likely voters). Challenger Pearson, at 39%, gains from progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats, Indivisible Memphis, and PAL PAC, plus national profile from his 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and re-election as part of the "Tennessee Three," appealing to younger and Black voters in the Memphis-based district. A New York Times profile last week highlighted the generational divide—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson at 31—keeping the August 6 contest competitive. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at 4% with minimal traction.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,710วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability in the Tennessee's 9th Congressional District Democratic primary, buoyed by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising including corporate PAC contributions, and narrow lead in a March Data for Progress poll (45%-44% over Justin Pearson among 354 likely voters). Challenger Pearson, at 39%, gains from progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats, Indivisible Memphis, and PAL PAC, plus national profile from his 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and re-election as part of the "Tennessee Three," appealing to younger and Black voters in the Memphis-based district. A New York Times profile last week highlighted the generational divide—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson at 31—keeping the August 6 contest competitive. Community activist DeVante Hill lags at 4% with minimal traction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย