Recent redistricting in Tennessee has fragmented the Democratic stronghold in the 9th Congressional District, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary on May 15. State Representative Justin Pearson, who gained visibility through protests against the new maps and secured progressive endorsements, now leads with an 80 percent implied probability among traders. DeVante Hill trails at 11.8 percent as a lesser-known challenger, while Cohen’s residual 4.3 percent reflects lingering name recognition despite his exit. This positioning stems from Pearson’s established grassroots network and the open-seat dynamics created by the redrawn boundaries.