Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his five-term record, endorsements from major unions like District Council 37 and Stonewall Democrats, superior fundraising as an established figure, and strong support among Hispanic voters in the district's diverse Upper Manhattan and Bronx electorate. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% on Democratic Socialists of America backing, progressive coalitions, and criticism of Espaillat's AIPAC ties and real estate developer relationships, fueled by her April internal poll showing a 42-28 gap with his support described as soft. A May 3 report linking her campaign donations to pro-test ICE monitors appears to have capped her momentum, while petition challenges among candidates were resolved in late April. Early voting starts June 13, with other contenders negligible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAdriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
Oscar Romero 1.4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,629 ปริมาณ
$22,629 ปริมาณ
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
29%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
Oscar Romero 1.4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,629 ปริมาณ
$22,629 ปริมาณ
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
29%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his five-term record, endorsements from major unions like District Council 37 and Stonewall Democrats, superior fundraising as an established figure, and strong support among Hispanic voters in the district's diverse Upper Manhattan and Bronx electorate. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% on Democratic Socialists of America backing, progressive coalitions, and criticism of Espaillat's AIPAC ties and real estate developer relationships, fueled by her April internal poll showing a 42-28 gap with his support described as soft. A May 3 report linking her campaign donations to pro-test ICE monitors appears to have capped her momentum, while petition challenges among candidates were resolved in late April. Early voting starts June 13, with other contenders negligible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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