In New York's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (43.5%) and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier (39.5%), driven by a recent internal poll from Avila Chevalier's camp showing Espaillat at 42% with soft re-elect support among likely voters and Avila gaining to a 46%-35% lead after messaging on progressive priorities. Espaillat benefits from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment ties in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, while Avila Chevalier's endorsements from DSA and Justice Democrats energize the renter-heavy, left-leaning electorate amid recent progressive wins like Zohran Mamdani's. Upcoming debates or turnout among Latino and activist blocs could tip the balance in this low-polling race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAdriano Espaillat 46%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 38%
Oscar Romero 4.0%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.1%
$14,750 ปริมาณ
$14,750 ปริมาณ
Adriano Espaillat
46%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
38%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 46%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 38%
Oscar Romero 4.0%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.1%
$14,750 ปริมาณ
$14,750 ปริมาณ
Adriano Espaillat
46%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
38%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New York's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat (43.5%) and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier (39.5%), driven by a recent internal poll from Avila Chevalier's camp showing Espaillat at 42% with soft re-elect support among likely voters and Avila gaining to a 46%-35% lead after messaging on progressive priorities. Espaillat benefits from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment ties in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, while Avila Chevalier's endorsements from DSA and Justice Democrats energize the renter-heavy, left-leaning electorate amid recent progressive wins like Zohran Mamdani's. Upcoming debates or turnout among Latino and activist blocs could tip the balance in this low-polling race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย