Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary with an 80% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements including from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stronger fundraising, and positive early voting reports just days before the June 23 contest. A May Emerson poll showed her narrowly ahead of Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 23% to 21% with 43% undecided, but trader pricing reflects her consolidation of support among younger voters and progressive networks in the district. Reynoso holds steady backing in parts of Brooklyn but trails significantly. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at negligible levels following the June 3 debate among the top three contenders. The compressed timeline leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez 100.0%
Antonio Reynoso <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
Julie Won <1%
$431,533 ปริมาณ
$431,533 ปริมาณ
Antonio Reynoso
No
Kristen Gonzalez
No
Julie Won
No
Lincoln Restler
No
Claire Valdez
Yes
Julia Salazar
No
Jennifer Gútierrez
No
Sandy Nurse
No
Tiffany Cabán
No
Claire Valdez 100.0%
Antonio Reynoso <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
Julie Won <1%
$431,533 ปริมาณ
$431,533 ปริมาณ
Antonio Reynoso
No
Kristen Gonzalez
No
Julie Won
No
Lincoln Restler
No
Claire Valdez
Yes
Julia Salazar
No
Jennifer Gútierrez
No
Sandy Nurse
No
Tiffany Cabán
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary with an 80% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements including from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, stronger fundraising, and positive early voting reports just days before the June 23 contest. A May Emerson poll showed her narrowly ahead of Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 23% to 21% with 43% undecided, but trader pricing reflects her consolidation of support among younger voters and progressive networks in the district. Reynoso holds steady backing in parts of Brooklyn but trails significantly. Other candidates including Julie Won remain at negligible levels following the June 3 debate among the top three contenders. The compressed timeline leaves limited room for major shifts absent late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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