**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, far ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman at 17.5%, with negligible support for challengers Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou.** This positioning stems from a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing Lander leading 47%-42% among 465 likely Democratic primary voters, signaling his edge despite Goldman's $1 million self-funding and endorsements from Gov. Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Lander draws strength from Mayor Zohran Mamdani's backing, Sen. Bernie Sanders' support, and deep roots in progressive Brownstone Brooklyn areas comprising much of the district. Goldman's May 11 rally with unions underscored establishment efforts, but polls reflect limited traction amid Lander's local name recognition on housing and tenant issues. With five weeks until voting, turnout among key blocs could shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 ปริมาณ
$11,942 ปริมาณ
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
Brad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 18%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,942 ปริมาณ
$11,942 ปริมาณ
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
18%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, far ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman at 17.5%, with negligible support for challengers Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou.** This positioning stems from a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing Lander leading 47%-42% among 465 likely Democratic primary voters, signaling his edge despite Goldman's $1 million self-funding and endorsements from Gov. Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Lander draws strength from Mayor Zohran Mamdani's backing, Sen. Bernie Sanders' support, and deep roots in progressive Brownstone Brooklyn areas comprising much of the district. Goldman's May 11 rally with unions underscored establishment efforts, but polls reflect limited traction amid Lander's local name recognition on housing and tenant issues. With five weeks until voting, turnout among key blocs could shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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