White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing to May 14-15 after postponement due to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, anchoring trader consensus around those dates while elevating May 13 to 62.5% implied probability amid speculation on potential early arrival. Recent US Air Force C-17 transport planes landing at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 1-3, delivering advance logistics, signal firm preparations despite escalating Hormuz tensions, with Trump insisting the trip proceeds as planned to pursue economic stability, trade balances, and Iranian de-escalation support from China. Ongoing diplomatic signals, including Beijing's commitment regardless of Middle East volatility, keep "No visit by May 31" low at 8.2%, though late shifts remain possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 59%
May 14 27%
No visit by May 31 7.3%
May 15 3.5%
$533,559 ปริมาณ
$533,559 ปริมาณ
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
59%
May 14
27%
May 15
4%
May 16
2%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
<1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
<1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No visit by May 31
7%
May 13 59%
May 14 27%
No visit by May 31 7.3%
May 15 3.5%
$533,559 ปริมาณ
$533,559 ปริมาณ
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
59%
May 14
27%
May 15
4%
May 16
2%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
<1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
<1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No visit by May 31
7%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing to May 14-15 after postponement due to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, anchoring trader consensus around those dates while elevating May 13 to 62.5% implied probability amid speculation on potential early arrival. Recent US Air Force C-17 transport planes landing at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 1-3, delivering advance logistics, signal firm preparations despite escalating Hormuz tensions, with Trump insisting the trip proceeds as planned to pursue economic stability, trade balances, and Iranian de-escalation support from China. Ongoing diplomatic signals, including Beijing's commitment regardless of Middle East volatility, keep "No visit by May 31" low at 8.2%, though late shifts remain possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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