White House confirmation on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's bilateral summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from March amid the Iran conflict—has driven trader consensus, pricing May 13 at 53.5% and May 14 at 31.5% as leading outcomes, with the slight edge to May 13 reflecting speculation on potential early arrival logistics. Recent developments bolstering probabilities include US Air Force C-17 deliveries of presidential vehicles to Beijing this week and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's consultations in China today amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, signaling no imminent cancellation risks. Low odds on "No visit by May 31" (8.6%) underscore skin-in-the-game confidence in the trip proceeding as planned despite geopolitical pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 53%
May 14 32%
No visit by May 31 8.2%
May 15 2.7%
$714,756 ปริมาณ
$714,756 ปริมาณ
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
53%
May 14
32%
May 15
3%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
<1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
<1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No visit by May 31
8%
May 13 53%
May 14 32%
No visit by May 31 8.2%
May 15 2.7%
$714,756 ปริมาณ
$714,756 ปริมาณ
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
53%
May 14
32%
May 15
3%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
<1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
<1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
<1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No visit by May 31
8%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's bilateral summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from March amid the Iran conflict—has driven trader consensus, pricing May 13 at 53.5% and May 14 at 31.5% as leading outcomes, with the slight edge to May 13 reflecting speculation on potential early arrival logistics. Recent developments bolstering probabilities include US Air Force C-17 deliveries of presidential vehicles to Beijing this week and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's consultations in China today amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, signaling no imminent cancellation risks. Low odds on "No visit by May 31" (8.6%) underscore skin-in-the-game confidence in the trip proceeding as planned despite geopolitical pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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