Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for a US debt default by 2027, reflecting Congress's July 2025 raise of the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which provides ample headroom amid ongoing deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office at nearly $2 trillion annually. The Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—78 debt ceiling increases since 1960, with bipartisan action averting default despite past brinkmanship—bolster confidence, as recent Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget analysis points to a potential X-date only in mid-to-late 2027. Realistic shifts could arise from extreme congressional gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal crises post-2026 midterms forcing unyielding partisan standoffs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$14,924 ปริมาณ
$14,924 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$14,924 ปริมาณ
$14,924 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for a US debt default by 2027, reflecting Congress's July 2025 raise of the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which provides ample headroom amid ongoing deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office at nearly $2 trillion annually. The Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—78 debt ceiling increases since 1960, with bipartisan action averting default despite past brinkmanship—bolster confidence, as recent Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget analysis points to a potential X-date only in mid-to-late 2027. Realistic shifts could arise from extreme congressional gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal crises post-2026 midterms forcing unyielding partisan standoffs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,924วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for a US debt default by 2027, reflecting Congress's July 2025 raise of the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which provides ample headroom amid ongoing deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office at nearly $2 trillion annually. The Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—78 debt ceiling increases since 1960, with bipartisan action averting default despite past brinkmanship—bolster confidence, as recent Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget analysis points to a potential X-date only in mid-to-late 2027. Realistic shifts could arise from extreme congressional gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal crises post-2026 midterms forcing unyielding partisan standoffs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,924วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for a US debt default by 2027, reflecting Congress's July 2025 raise of the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which provides ample headroom amid ongoing deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office at nearly $2 trillion annually. The Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—78 debt ceiling increases since 1960, with bipartisan action averting default despite past brinkmanship—bolster confidence, as recent Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget analysis points to a potential X-date only in mid-to-late 2027. Realistic shifts could arise from extreme congressional gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal crises post-2026 midterms forcing unyielding partisan standoffs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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