Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from his solid approval ratings around 56-63%, bolstered by widespread respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, alongside Hawaii's long history of Democratic dominance—no Republican has won the governorship since statehood in 1959. Green's 2022 victory margin of 63% underscores incumbency advantages in this deep-blue state, with Republicans mounting no serious challenge yet ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a major scandal, health issues, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging post-filing deadline on June 2, or national midterm dynamics eroding Democratic turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$2,116 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$2,522 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from his solid approval ratings around 56-63%, bolstered by widespread respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, alongside Hawaii's long history of Democratic dominance—no Republican has won the governorship since statehood in 1959. Green's 2022 victory margin of 63% underscores incumbency advantages in this deep-blue state, with Republicans mounting no serious challenge yet ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a major scandal, health issues, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging post-filing deadline on June 2, or national midterm dynamics eroding Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,638วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from his solid approval ratings around 56-63%, bolstered by widespread respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, alongside Hawaii's long history of Democratic dominance—no Republican has won the governorship since statehood in 1959. Green's 2022 victory margin of 63% underscores incumbency advantages in this deep-blue state, with Republicans mounting no serious challenge yet ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a major scandal, health issues, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging post-filing deadline on June 2, or national midterm dynamics eroding Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,638วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from his solid approval ratings around 56-63%, bolstered by widespread respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, alongside Hawaii's long history of Democratic dominance—no Republican has won the governorship since statehood in 1959. Green's 2022 victory margin of 63% underscores incumbency advantages in this deep-blue state, with Republicans mounting no serious challenge yet ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a major scandal, health issues, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging post-filing deadline on June 2, or national midterm dynamics eroding Democratic turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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