Trader consensus strongly favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by late Q2 2026, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion for the codenamed "Spud" large language model and statements from CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman signaling an imminent frontier model rollout. Leaks indicate Spud offers incremental gains in reasoning and omnimodal capabilities over GPT-5.4, amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok 4.3, but falls short of GPT-6 benchmarks. Recent GPT-5.4-Cyber launch bolsters OpenAI's cybersecurity positioning, while a leadership shakeup three days ago introduces slight timeline risks. Imminent shadow testing rumors and this week's potential dev previews could accelerate probabilities, with public availability as the key resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGPT-5.5 ออกโดย...?
GPT-5.5 ออกโดย...?
$827,795 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
21 เมษายน
3%
22 เมษายน
7%
23 เมษายน
78%
30 เมษายน
90%
30 มิถุนายน
96%
$827,795 ปริมาณ
21 เมษายน
$15,523 ปริมาณ
3%
22 เมษายน
$17,306 ปริมาณ
7%
23 เมษายน
$106,102 ปริมาณ
78%
30 เมษายน
$215,481 ปริมาณ
90%
30 มิถุนายน
$229,095 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by late Q2 2026, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion for the codenamed "Spud" large language model and statements from CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman signaling an imminent frontier model rollout. Leaks indicate Spud offers incremental gains in reasoning and omnimodal capabilities over GPT-5.4, amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok 4.3, but falls short of GPT-6 benchmarks. Recent GPT-5.4-Cyber launch bolsters OpenAI's cybersecurity positioning, while a leadership shakeup three days ago introduces slight timeline risks. Imminent shadow testing rumors and this week's potential dev previews could accelerate probabilities, with public availability as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$827,795ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by late Q2 2026, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion for the codenamed "Spud" large language model and statements from CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman signaling an imminent frontier model rollout. Leaks indicate Spud offers incremental gains in reasoning and omnimodal capabilities over GPT-5.4, amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok 4.3, but falls short of GPT-6 benchmarks. Recent GPT-5.4-Cyber launch bolsters OpenAI's cybersecurity positioning, while a leadership shakeup three days ago introduces slight timeline risks. Imminent shadow testing rumors and this week's potential dev previews could accelerate probabilities, with public availability as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$827,795ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by late Q2 2026, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion for the codenamed "Spud" large language model and statements from CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman signaling an imminent frontier model rollout. Leaks indicate Spud offers incremental gains in reasoning and omnimodal capabilities over GPT-5.4, amid intensifying competition from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok 4.3, but falls short of GPT-6 benchmarks. Recent GPT-5.4-Cyber launch bolsters OpenAI's cybersecurity positioning, while a leadership shakeup three days ago introduces slight timeline risks. Imminent shadow testing rumors and this week's potential dev previews could accelerate probabilities, with public availability as the key resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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