Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 5 and Fable 5 released in July 2026, anchor the 93.5% implied probability by leading MathArena at 84.4% and topping text Arena leaderboards for complex reasoning and step-by-step math explanations. These results reflect strong demonstrated capabilities on uncontaminated competition problems and human-voted text tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol on Arena-specific math metrics despite the latter's edge on some LiveBench scores. With resolution imminent at end of August, traders see limited room for reversal absent an unexpected late release or benchmark update from competitors like OpenAI or Google that materially shifts Arena standings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 94%
OpenAI 5.5%
Google 1.7%
Alibaba <1%
$85,103 ปริมาณ
$85,103 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
94%
OpenAI
6%
2%
Alibaba
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 94%
OpenAI 5.5%
Google 1.7%
Alibaba <1%
$85,103 ปริมาณ
$85,103 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$28,260 ปริมาณ
94%
OpenAI
$11,237 ปริมาณ
6%
$17,661 ปริมาณ
2%
Alibaba
$8,773 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$4,432 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$494 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$553 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$451 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bytedance
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$564 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$531 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 5 and Fable 5 released in July 2026, anchor the 93.5% implied probability by leading MathArena at 84.4% and topping text Arena leaderboards for complex reasoning and step-by-step math explanations. These results reflect strong demonstrated capabilities on uncontaminated competition problems and human-voted text tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol on Arena-specific math metrics despite the latter's edge on some LiveBench scores. With resolution imminent at end of August, traders see limited room for reversal absent an unexpected late release or benchmark update from competitors like OpenAI or Google that materially shifts Arena standings.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,103วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 5 and Fable 5 released in July 2026, anchor the 93.5% implied probability by leading MathArena at 84.4% and topping text Arena leaderboards for complex reasoning and step-by-step math explanations. These results reflect strong demonstrated capabilities on uncontaminated competition problems and human-voted text tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol on Arena-specific math metrics despite the latter's edge on some LiveBench scores. With resolution imminent at end of August, traders see limited room for reversal absent an unexpected late release or benchmark update from competitors like OpenAI or Google that materially shifts Arena standings.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,103วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude models, particularly Opus 5 and Fable 5 released in July 2026, anchor the 93.5% implied probability by leading MathArena at 84.4% and topping text Arena leaderboards for complex reasoning and step-by-step math explanations. These results reflect strong demonstrated capabilities on uncontaminated competition problems and human-voted text tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol on Arena-specific math metrics despite the latter's edge on some LiveBench scores. With resolution imminent at end of August, traders see limited room for reversal absent an unexpected late release or benchmark update from competitors like OpenAI or Google that materially shifts Arena standings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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