Google’s flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro repeatedly delayed from its June target after I/O due to shortfalls in internal coding and long-horizon benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants—3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 series through September—prioritizing token efficiency, agentic workflows, and cost reductions amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.x and Anthropic’s Claude updates. Pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing with no firm public timeline. Traders are pricing in continued slippage, as Google emphasizes shipping only when performance goals are met rather than rushing to match rivals’ cadence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,325,122 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
8%
October 15
47%
October 31
82%
$1,325,122 ปริมาณ
September 30
$105,672 ปริมาณ
8%
October 15
$18,938 ปริมาณ
47%
October 31
$31,854 ปริมาณ
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro repeatedly delayed from its June target after I/O due to shortfalls in internal coding and long-horizon benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants—3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 series through September—prioritizing token efficiency, agentic workflows, and cost reductions amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.x and Anthropic’s Claude updates. Pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing with no firm public timeline. Traders are pricing in continued slippage, as Google emphasizes shipping only when performance goals are met rather than rushing to match rivals’ cadence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,325,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro repeatedly delayed from its June target after I/O due to shortfalls in internal coding and long-horizon benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants—3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 series through September—prioritizing token efficiency, agentic workflows, and cost reductions amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.x and Anthropic’s Claude updates. Pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing with no firm public timeline. Traders are pricing in continued slippage, as Google emphasizes shipping only when performance goals are met rather than rushing to match rivals’ cadence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,325,122วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google’s flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro repeatedly delayed from its June target after I/O due to shortfalls in internal coding and long-horizon benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants—3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 series through September—prioritizing token efficiency, agentic workflows, and cost reductions amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.x and Anthropic’s Claude updates. Pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing with no firm public timeline. Traders are pricing in continued slippage, as Google emphasizes shipping only when performance goals are met rather than rushing to match rivals’ cadence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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