Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24, 2026, and strong showing from its Mythos-class models like Fable 5 drive the 91.5% market-implied odds, as these models currently lead Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indices while topping multiple Arena coding and agent benchmarks. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated edge in reasoning, coding, and professional deliverables over close rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family. With the market resolving in roughly three weeks, realistic challenges include unexpected frontier releases from competitors or benchmark revisions that could narrow the gap before end of August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 92%
OpenAI 5.8%
Google 2.1%
Meta <1%
$1,342,445 ปริมาณ
$1,342,445 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
92%
OpenAI
6%
2%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 92%
OpenAI 5.8%
Google 2.1%
Meta <1%
$1,342,445 ปริมาณ
$1,342,445 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$296,100 ปริมาณ
92%
OpenAI
$136,887 ปริมาณ
6%
$112,670 ปริมาณ
2%
Meta
$123,481 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$116,707 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$85,003 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$89,590 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$118,766 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$113,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$15,026 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$11,003 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$9,772 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bytedance
$37,660 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$11,459 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$12,838 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$23,156 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$4,345 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$3,797 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$4,357 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$4,987 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$11,518 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24, 2026, and strong showing from its Mythos-class models like Fable 5 drive the 91.5% market-implied odds, as these models currently lead Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indices while topping multiple Arena coding and agent benchmarks. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated edge in reasoning, coding, and professional deliverables over close rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family. With the market resolving in roughly three weeks, realistic challenges include unexpected frontier releases from competitors or benchmark revisions that could narrow the gap before end of August.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,342,445วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24, 2026, and strong showing from its Mythos-class models like Fable 5 drive the 91.5% market-implied odds, as these models currently lead Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indices while topping multiple Arena coding and agent benchmarks. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated edge in reasoning, coding, and professional deliverables over close rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family. With the market resolving in roughly three weeks, realistic challenges include unexpected frontier releases from competitors or benchmark revisions that could narrow the gap before end of August.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,342,445วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24, 2026, and strong showing from its Mythos-class models like Fable 5 drive the 91.5% market-implied odds, as these models currently lead Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indices while topping multiple Arena coding and agent benchmarks. Trader consensus reflects this demonstrated edge in reasoning, coding, and professional deliverables over close rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family. With the market resolving in roughly three weeks, realistic challenges include unexpected frontier releases from competitors or benchmark revisions that could narrow the gap before end of August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย