Six months into the U.S.-brokered Israel-Hamas ceasefire, trader consensus prices modest odds on foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30, reflecting stalled deployment of the International Stabilization Force (ISF) amid Hamas's partial weapons handover on April 19 but rejection of full disarmament, Israel's control of eastern Gaza, and funding gaps. Kosovo's parliamentary approval of troops on April 17 joins pledges from Indonesia, Albania, Morocco, and others, yet no non-Israeli, non-Palestinian security or military personnel have entered Gaza's territory for operational roles. Ongoing low-level Israeli strikes killing dozens and aid flotillas sailing from Italy risk escalation, while phase-two ceasefire talks and U.S. mediation on disarmament deadlines loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$602,338 ปริมาณ

30 เมษายน
<1%

30 มิถุนายน
21%
$602,338 ปริมาณ

30 เมษายน
<1%

30 มิถุนายน
21%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Six months into the U.S.-brokered Israel-Hamas ceasefire, trader consensus prices modest odds on foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30, reflecting stalled deployment of the International Stabilization Force (ISF) amid Hamas's partial weapons handover on April 19 but rejection of full disarmament, Israel's control of eastern Gaza, and funding gaps. Kosovo's parliamentary approval of troops on April 17 joins pledges from Indonesia, Albania, Morocco, and others, yet no non-Israeli, non-Palestinian security or military personnel have entered Gaza's territory for operational roles. Ongoing low-level Israeli strikes killing dozens and aid flotillas sailing from Italy risk escalation, while phase-two ceasefire talks and U.S. mediation on disarmament deadlines loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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