Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating under late-September subtropical conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress maximum values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28°C, but current steering patterns and atmospheric moisture are favoring slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on how much insolation reaches the surface before peak afternoon hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
32%
27°C
33%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
23°C or below
$184 Vol.
1%
24°C
$510 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,819 Vol.
18%
26°C
$712 Vol.
32%
27°C
$967 Vol.
33%
28°C
$842 Vol.
12%
29°C
$268 Vol.
3%
30°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating under late-September subtropical conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress maximum values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28°C, but current steering patterns and atmospheric moisture are favoring slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on how much insolation reaches the surface before peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,522End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating under late-September subtropical conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress maximum values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28°C, but current steering patterns and atmospheric moisture are favoring slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on how much insolation reaches the surface before peak afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,522End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 23 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating under late-September subtropical conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and a modest chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress maximum values by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing incoming solar radiation. Historical September averages for the region hover around 28°C, but current steering patterns and atmospheric moisture are favoring slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any precipitation, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on how much insolation reaches the surface before peak afternoon hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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