North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
3 40.5%
2 30%
4+ 21.0%
1 3.0%
$52,181 Vol.
$52,181 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
1
3%
2
30%
3
41%
4+
21%
3 40.5%
2 30%
4+ 21.0%
1 3.0%
$52,181 Vol.
$52,181 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
1
$14,667 Vol.
3%
2
$5,095 Vol.
30%
3
$3,306 Vol.
41%
4+
$5,805 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$52,181End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$52,181End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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