Nike’s upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, slated for late September or early October, face a lowered consensus bar after aggressive estimate cuts and a cautious sell-through backdrop. Traders assign a 76% implied probability of an earnings beat, reflecting Nike’s recent track record of surpassing forecasts—often aided by one-time items such as the June tariff-recovery windfall—combined with ongoing “Win Now” cost discipline and margin focus. Persistent headwinds, including softer global sales trends flagged by UBS, Greater China weakness, and competitive pressure, keep the outlook guarded, while the addition of Alexandre Arnault to the board signals potential brand and digital initiatives. Market-implied odds embed expectations for modest revenue declines near 3% alongside potential upside in adjusted profitability metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated76% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 28, 2026
76% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 28, 2026
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Nike’s upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, slated for late September or early October, face a lowered consensus bar after aggressive estimate cuts and a cautious sell-through backdrop. Traders assign a 76% implied probability of an earnings beat, reflecting Nike’s recent track record of surpassing forecasts—often aided by one-time items such as the June tariff-recovery windfall—combined with ongoing “Win Now” cost discipline and margin focus. Persistent headwinds, including softer global sales trends flagged by UBS, Greater China weakness, and competitive pressure, keep the outlook guarded, while the addition of Alexandre Arnault to the board signals potential brand and digital initiatives. Market-implied odds embed expectations for modest revenue declines near 3% alongside potential upside in adjusted profitability metrics.
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,220End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NKE/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Nike’s upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, slated for late September or early October, face a lowered consensus bar after aggressive estimate cuts and a cautious sell-through backdrop. Traders assign a 76% implied probability of an earnings beat, reflecting Nike’s recent track record of surpassing forecasts—often aided by one-time items such as the June tariff-recovery windfall—combined with ongoing “Win Now” cost discipline and margin focus. Persistent headwinds, including softer global sales trends flagged by UBS, Greater China weakness, and competitive pressure, keep the outlook guarded, while the addition of Alexandre Arnault to the board signals potential brand and digital initiatives. Market-implied odds embed expectations for modest revenue declines near 3% alongside potential upside in adjusted profitability metrics.
As of market creation, Nike is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Nike's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nike reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Nike releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$1,220End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NKE/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...Nike’s upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, slated for late September or early October, face a lowered consensus bar after aggressive estimate cuts and a cautious sell-through backdrop. Traders assign a 76% implied probability of an earnings beat, reflecting Nike’s recent track record of surpassing forecasts—often aided by one-time items such as the June tariff-recovery windfall—combined with ongoing “Win Now” cost discipline and margin focus. Persistent headwinds, including softer global sales trends flagged by UBS, Greater China weakness, and competitive pressure, keep the outlook guarded, while the addition of Alexandre Arnault to the board signals potential brand and digital initiatives. Market-implied odds embed expectations for modest revenue declines near 3% alongside potential upside in adjusted profitability metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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