**Trader consensus has converged on a 24°C high for Munich on September 20, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a maximum of 24°C (roughly 75°F) under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 10 mph, keeping temperatures from climbing higher amid limited insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of about 19°C but matches the specific synoptic pattern of a mild, stable air mass. Late-day showers are expected but will not alter the daytime peak. The only realistic challenges would involve final observational revisions from the Deutscher Wetterdienst exceeding 24°C due to localized warming or instrument differences, though current data and model consensus make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 20?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,129 Vol.
$40,129 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,129 Vol.
$40,129 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$5,679 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,391 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,600 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,789 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$9,825 Vol.
100%
25°C
$6,239 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,645 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,662 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 24°C high for Munich on September 20, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a maximum of 24°C (roughly 75°F) under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 10 mph, keeping temperatures from climbing higher amid limited insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of about 19°C but matches the specific synoptic pattern of a mild, stable air mass. Late-day showers are expected but will not alter the daytime peak. The only realistic challenges would involve final observational revisions from the Deutscher Wetterdienst exceeding 24°C due to localized warming or instrument differences, though current data and model consensus make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,129End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 24°C high for Munich on September 20, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a maximum of 24°C (roughly 75°F) under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 10 mph, keeping temperatures from climbing higher amid limited insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of about 19°C but matches the specific synoptic pattern of a mild, stable air mass. Late-day showers are expected but will not alter the daytime peak. The only realistic challenges would involve final observational revisions from the Deutscher Wetterdienst exceeding 24°C due to localized warming or instrument differences, though current data and model consensus make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,129End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 24°C high for Munich on September 20, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across official forecasts.** Multiple meteorological models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a maximum of 24°C (roughly 75°F) under mostly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 10 mph, keeping temperatures from climbing higher amid limited insolation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 September average high of about 19°C but matches the specific synoptic pattern of a mild, stable air mass. Late-day showers are expected but will not alter the daytime peak. The only realistic challenges would involve final observational revisions from the Deutscher Wetterdienst exceeding 24°C due to localized warming or instrument differences, though current data and model consensus make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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