**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 23, 2026, under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Current observations near midday show temperatures around 15–17°C (roughly 59–63°F), consistent with model consensus that limits further warming due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This places the expected peak near or slightly above the long-term September 23 average high of about 14.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (87.5%) over 18°C (12.5%) because recent forecast updates and real-time readings indicate limited potential for reaching the upper end of the range before the daily maximum is recorded. Resolution depends on the official daily high reported by monitoring stations, with little time remaining for significant shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
17°C 89%
18°C 8%
19°C 2%
20°C <1%
$18,805 Vol.
$18,805 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
89%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 89%
18°C 8%
19°C 2%
20°C <1%
$18,805 Vol.
$18,805 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$462 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,435 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,289 Vol.
89%
18°C
$2,750 Vol.
8%
19°C
$2,359 Vol.
2%
20°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,335 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 23, 2026, under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Current observations near midday show temperatures around 15–17°C (roughly 59–63°F), consistent with model consensus that limits further warming due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This places the expected peak near or slightly above the long-term September 23 average high of about 14.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (87.5%) over 18°C (12.5%) because recent forecast updates and real-time readings indicate limited potential for reaching the upper end of the range before the daily maximum is recorded. Resolution depends on the official daily high reported by monitoring stations, with little time remaining for significant shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,805End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 23, 2026, under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Current observations near midday show temperatures around 15–17°C (roughly 59–63°F), consistent with model consensus that limits further warming due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This places the expected peak near or slightly above the long-term September 23 average high of about 14.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (87.5%) over 18°C (12.5%) because recent forecast updates and real-time readings indicate limited potential for reaching the upper end of the range before the daily maximum is recorded. Resolution depends on the official daily high reported by monitoring stations, with little time remaining for significant shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,805End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 23, 2026, under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Current observations near midday show temperatures around 15–17°C (roughly 59–63°F), consistent with model consensus that limits further warming due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This places the expected peak near or slightly above the long-term September 23 average high of about 14.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C (87.5%) over 18°C (12.5%) because recent forecast updates and real-time readings indicate limited potential for reaching the upper end of the range before the daily maximum is recorded. Resolution depends on the official daily high reported by monitoring stations, with little time remaining for significant shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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