Current weather models and official forecasts for Manila on September 23 indicate afternoon highs centered on 31–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C and 33°C. Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the peak rainy season limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below historical September extremes near 34°C or higher. Recent GFS and regional guidance show peak readings around 30–32°C amid 75–85% relative humidity and light winds, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus on these narrow bands over cooler or hotter tails. Updated monitoring from agencies like PAGASA will refine afternoon observations before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 23?
33°C 49%
32°C 37%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NEW
$16,270 Vol.
NEW
$16,270 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
37%
33°C
49%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 37%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NEW
$16,270 Vol.
NEW
$16,270 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
28°C or below
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$624 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,184 Vol.
5%
32°C
$9,999 Vol.
37%
33°C
$2,050 Vol.
49%
34°C
$1,392 Vol.
11%
35°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$70 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts for Manila on September 23 indicate afternoon highs centered on 31–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C and 33°C. Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the peak rainy season limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below historical September extremes near 34°C or higher. Recent GFS and regional guidance show peak readings around 30–32°C amid 75–85% relative humidity and light winds, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus on these narrow bands over cooler or hotter tails. Updated monitoring from agencies like PAGASA will refine afternoon observations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$16,270End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts for Manila on September 23 indicate afternoon highs centered on 31–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C and 33°C. Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the peak rainy season limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below historical September extremes near 34°C or higher. Recent GFS and regional guidance show peak readings around 30–32°C amid 75–85% relative humidity and light winds, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus on these narrow bands over cooler or hotter tails. Updated monitoring from agencies like PAGASA will refine afternoon observations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,270End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models and official forecasts for Manila on September 23 indicate afternoon highs centered on 31–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C and 33°C. Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the peak rainy season limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below historical September extremes near 34°C or higher. Recent GFS and regional guidance show peak readings around 30–32°C amid 75–85% relative humidity and light winds, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus on these narrow bands over cooler or hotter tails. Updated monitoring from agencies like PAGASA will refine afternoon observations before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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