Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions over Lucknow on September 21, following scattered rain and cloud cover on September 20 that limited daytime heating. This shift favors maximum temperatures clustering around 34°C, consistent with the market-implied 52.5% probability for that outcome and 42% for 33°C. Typical late-September climatology for the region supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under moderate humidity and light easterly winds, with limited moisture return reducing cloud buildup. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the 33–35°C range, though any unexpected convective activity could cap the peak closer to 33°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 21?
33°C 46%
34°C 45%
35°C 6%
36°C <1%
NEW
$11,449 Vol.
NEW
$11,449 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
46%
34°C
45%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 45%
35°C 6%
36°C <1%
NEW
$11,449 Vol.
NEW
$11,449 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
$587 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$834 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,685 Vol.
46%
34°C
$2,854 Vol.
45%
35°C
$2,123 Vol.
6%
36°C
$685 Vol.
1%
37°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions over Lucknow on September 21, following scattered rain and cloud cover on September 20 that limited daytime heating. This shift favors maximum temperatures clustering around 34°C, consistent with the market-implied 52.5% probability for that outcome and 42% for 33°C. Typical late-September climatology for the region supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under moderate humidity and light easterly winds, with limited moisture return reducing cloud buildup. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the 33–35°C range, though any unexpected convective activity could cap the peak closer to 33°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,449End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions over Lucknow on September 21, following scattered rain and cloud cover on September 20 that limited daytime heating. This shift favors maximum temperatures clustering around 34°C, consistent with the market-implied 52.5% probability for that outcome and 42% for 33°C. Typical late-September climatology for the region supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under moderate humidity and light easterly winds, with limited moisture return reducing cloud buildup. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the 33–35°C range, though any unexpected convective activity could cap the peak closer to 33°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,449End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions over Lucknow on September 21, following scattered rain and cloud cover on September 20 that limited daytime heating. This shift favors maximum temperatures clustering around 34°C, consistent with the market-implied 52.5% probability for that outcome and 42% for 33°C. Typical late-September climatology for the region supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under moderate humidity and light easterly winds, with limited moisture return reducing cloud buildup. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the 33–35°C range, though any unexpected convective activity could cap the peak closer to 33°C. Updated IMD guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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