The market's strong consensus around fewer than five posts by Khamenei accounts during October 20-27 reflects the established pattern of infrequent updates from official X profiles such as @khamenei_ir, which typically issue statements only in response to major developments rather than on a regular schedule. Recent activity has remained limited despite regional tensions and institutional transitions following the 2026 leadership change, with posts concentrated on archival or ceremonial topics rather than daily commentary. This aligns with historical base rates for these accounts outside acute crises. Potential shifts could arise from sudden diplomatic announcements, escalations requiring official responses, or scheduled events within the resolution window that prompt additional statements from the leadership.