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Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?

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Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$745,932 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$745,932 Объем

Protests in Los Angeles erupted on June 6, 2025, following federal immigration raids, leading to widespread unrest and the activation of the California National Guard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Marines are deployed in response to the Los Angeles riots before June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the actual deployment of the US Marines in response to the LA riots will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a deployment alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$745,932
Дата окончания
Jun 13, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Protests in Los Angeles erupted on June 6, 2025, following federal immigration raids, leading to widespread unrest and the activation of the California National Guard. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Marines are deployed in response to the Los Angeles riots before June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of the US Marines in response to the LA riots will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a deployment alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Protests in Los Angeles erupted on June 6, 2025, following federal immigration raids, leading to widespread unrest and the activation of the California National Guard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Marines are deployed in response to the Los Angeles riots before June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only the actual deployment of the US Marines in response to the LA riots will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a deployment alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$745,932
Дата окончания
Jun 13, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Protests in Los Angeles erupted on June 6, 2025, following federal immigration raids, leading to widespread unrest and the activation of the California National Guard. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Marines are deployed in response to the Los Angeles riots before June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of the US Marines in response to the LA riots will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a deployment alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?" has generated $745.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.