Recent surge in 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.38% as of the March 26 Freddie Mac weekly average—up from 6.00% in early March—has anchored trader sentiment, driven by 10-year Treasury yields climbing to 4.42% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, and sticky inflation data offsetting Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate following the March 18 FOMC meeting. This reflects a typical 190-200 basis point spread over benchmark yields, with market-implied paths pricing in limited near-term relief absent cooler inflation prints. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and MBA project year-end averages near 5.9%-6.4%, contingent on two to three Fed cuts; key catalysts include April 10 CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC, where policy signals could pivot rate expectations through 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДостигнет ли 30-летняя ставка по ипотеке __ в 2026 году?
Достигнет ли 30-летняя ставка по ипотеке __ в 2026 году?
$43,345 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7,00%
41%
↑ 6,75%
49%
↑ 6,50%
84%
↓ 5,90%
47%
↓ 5,70%
43%
↓ 5,50%
50%
$43,345 Объем
↑ 7,00%
$13 Объем
41%
↑ 6,75%
$0 Объем
49%
↑ 6,50%
$6,451 Объем
84%
↓ 5,90%
$0 Объем
47%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Объем
43%
↓ 5,50%
$0 Объем
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent surge in 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.38% as of the March 26 Freddie Mac weekly average—up from 6.00% in early March—has anchored trader sentiment, driven by 10-year Treasury yields climbing to 4.42% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, and sticky inflation data offsetting Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate following the March 18 FOMC meeting. This reflects a typical 190-200 basis point spread over benchmark yields, with market-implied paths pricing in limited near-term relief absent cooler inflation prints. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and MBA project year-end averages near 5.9%-6.4%, contingent on two to three Fed cuts; key catalysts include April 10 CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC, where policy signals could pivot rate expectations through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Объем
$43,345Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent surge in 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.38% as of the March 26 Freddie Mac weekly average—up from 6.00% in early March—has anchored trader sentiment, driven by 10-year Treasury yields climbing to 4.42% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, and sticky inflation data offsetting Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate following the March 18 FOMC meeting. This reflects a typical 190-200 basis point spread over benchmark yields, with market-implied paths pricing in limited near-term relief absent cooler inflation prints. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and MBA project year-end averages near 5.9%-6.4%, contingent on two to three Fed cuts; key catalysts include April 10 CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC, where policy signals could pivot rate expectations through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Объем
$43,345Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent surge in 30-year fixed mortgage rates to 6.38% as of the March 26 Freddie Mac weekly average—up from 6.00% in early March—has anchored trader sentiment, driven by 10-year Treasury yields climbing to 4.42% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, and sticky inflation data offsetting Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate following the March 18 FOMC meeting. This reflects a typical 190-200 basis point spread over benchmark yields, with market-implied paths pricing in limited near-term relief absent cooler inflation prints. Consensus forecasts from Fannie Mae and MBA project year-end averages near 5.9%-6.4%, contingent on two to three Fed cuts; key catalysts include April 10 CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC, where policy signals could pivot rate expectations through 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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