Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects acute geopolitical risks from the escalating Iran conflict, which triggered a 1.67% plunge to 6,368.85 at the March 27 close—extending weekly losses to over 3% from 6,591.90 amid fears of prolonged war disrupting energy markets and inflating costs. Elevated VIX levels underscore volatility, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping as investors seek safety. Just three trading days remain to March 31 quarter-end, where rebalancing flows could amplify swings; key catalysts include Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech on monetary policy and NY Fed President Williams' remarks, potentially clarifying rate path amid sticky inflation. Prediction markets capture this skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term downside pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
$629,571 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8 000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,900
1%
↓ $6,300
61%
↓ $6,200
31%
↓ $6,000
6%
↓ $5 000
<1%
$629,571 Объем
↑ $8 000
$0 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,500
$36,599 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,300
$77,372 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,200
$4,714 Объем
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
$40,217 Объем
1%
↑ $7,000
$24,684 Объем
<1%
↑ $6,900
$16,565 Объем
1%
↓ $6,300
$111,122 Объем
61%
↓ $6,200
$35,812 Объем
31%
↓ $6,000
$51,211 Объем
6%
↓ $5 000
$157,945 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects acute geopolitical risks from the escalating Iran conflict, which triggered a 1.67% plunge to 6,368.85 at the March 27 close—extending weekly losses to over 3% from 6,591.90 amid fears of prolonged war disrupting energy markets and inflating costs. Elevated VIX levels underscore volatility, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping as investors seek safety. Just three trading days remain to March 31 quarter-end, where rebalancing flows could amplify swings; key catalysts include Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech on monetary policy and NY Fed President Williams' remarks, potentially clarifying rate path amid sticky inflation. Prediction markets capture this skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term downside pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Объем
$629,571Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects acute geopolitical risks from the escalating Iran conflict, which triggered a 1.67% plunge to 6,368.85 at the March 27 close—extending weekly losses to over 3% from 6,591.90 amid fears of prolonged war disrupting energy markets and inflating costs. Elevated VIX levels underscore volatility, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping as investors seek safety. Just three trading days remain to March 31 quarter-end, where rebalancing flows could amplify swings; key catalysts include Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech on monetary policy and NY Fed President Williams' remarks, potentially clarifying rate path amid sticky inflation. Prediction markets capture this skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term downside pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$629,571Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects acute geopolitical risks from the escalating Iran conflict, which triggered a 1.67% plunge to 6,368.85 at the March 27 close—extending weekly losses to over 3% from 6,591.90 amid fears of prolonged war disrupting energy markets and inflating costs. Elevated VIX levels underscore volatility, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping as investors seek safety. Just three trading days remain to March 31 quarter-end, where rebalancing flows could amplify swings; key catalysts include Fed Chair Powell's March 30 speech on monetary policy and NY Fed President Williams' remarks, potentially clarifying rate path amid sticky inflation. Prediction markets capture this skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term downside pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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