The S&P 500 currently trades around 6,575, down roughly 6% from its January 2026 peak above 7,000 and negative year-to-date amid sticky inflation pressures and softening labor conditions, including a 4.4% unemployment rate and recent nonfarm payroll decline of 92,000. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing in modest year-end upside potential amid divergent Wall Street forecasts like Goldman Sachs' 7,600 target implying 15% gains from here, versus more tempered outlooks. Key drivers include February CPI's 0.3% monthly rise and March FOMC projections maintaining steady rates; watch March CPI release on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC for shifts in rate cut expectations that could propel equities higher or extend the pullback. Volatility persists with geopolitical risks and Q1 earnings underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$27,046 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $9,300
7%
↑ $8 600
10%
↑ $8,200
14%
↑ 7 800 $
18%
↑ $7,600
37%
↑ $7,400
38%
↓ $6,200
85%
↓ $5 800
66%
↓ $5 200
36%
↓ $4,500
16%
$27,046 Объем
↑ $9,300
$670 Объем
7%
↑ $8 600
$1,668 Объем
10%
↑ $8,200
$401 Объем
14%
↑ 7 800 $
$354 Объем
18%
↑ $7,600
$109 Объем
37%
↑ $7,400
$634 Объем
38%
↓ $6,200
$1,921 Объем
85%
↓ $5 800
$2,808 Объем
66%
↓ $5 200
$3,591 Объем
36%
↓ $4,500
$6,288 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 currently trades around 6,575, down roughly 6% from its January 2026 peak above 7,000 and negative year-to-date amid sticky inflation pressures and softening labor conditions, including a 4.4% unemployment rate and recent nonfarm payroll decline of 92,000. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing in modest year-end upside potential amid divergent Wall Street forecasts like Goldman Sachs' 7,600 target implying 15% gains from here, versus more tempered outlooks. Key drivers include February CPI's 0.3% monthly rise and March FOMC projections maintaining steady rates; watch March CPI release on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC for shifts in rate cut expectations that could propel equities higher or extend the pullback. Volatility persists with geopolitical risks and Q1 earnings underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Объем
$27,046Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 currently trades around 6,575, down roughly 6% from its January 2026 peak above 7,000 and negative year-to-date amid sticky inflation pressures and softening labor conditions, including a 4.4% unemployment rate and recent nonfarm payroll decline of 92,000. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing in modest year-end upside potential amid divergent Wall Street forecasts like Goldman Sachs' 7,600 target implying 15% gains from here, versus more tempered outlooks. Key drivers include February CPI's 0.3% monthly rise and March FOMC projections maintaining steady rates; watch March CPI release on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC for shifts in rate cut expectations that could propel equities higher or extend the pullback. Volatility persists with geopolitical risks and Q1 earnings underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$27,046Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 currently trades around 6,575, down roughly 6% from its January 2026 peak above 7,000 and negative year-to-date amid sticky inflation pressures and softening labor conditions, including a 4.4% unemployment rate and recent nonfarm payroll decline of 92,000. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing in modest year-end upside potential amid divergent Wall Street forecasts like Goldman Sachs' 7,600 target implying 15% gains from here, versus more tempered outlooks. Key drivers include February CPI's 0.3% monthly rise and March FOMC projections maintaining steady rates; watch March CPI release on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC for shifts in rate cut expectations that could propel equities higher or extend the pullback. Volatility persists with geopolitical risks and Q1 earnings underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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