As of late May 2026, the S&P 500 trades near 7,519 amid 2026 analyst targets clustered between 7,100 and 8,000, aligning with the market-implied distribution favoring the $7,000–$7,500 range at 29%. Consensus 12–18% EPS growth, propelled by AI-driven tech earnings and resilient business investment, supports modest further gains to the 7,500–8,000 zone. Elevated core inflation near 2.6% and the Fed’s policy rate held at 3.50–3.75% introduce uncertainty, tempering expectations for aggressive rate cuts while capping downside from recession risks. Upcoming quarterly earnings and any FOMC signals on the path of monetary policy remain key swing factors for resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
$7,000–$7,500 24%
$7,500–$8,000 22%
>$8,000 19%
< $6,000 13%
$27,832 Объем
$27,832 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
13%
$6,000–$6,500
12%
$6,500–$7,000
12%
$7,000–$7,500
24%
$7,500–$8,000
22%
>$8,000
19%
$7,000–$7,500 24%
$7,500–$8,000 22%
>$8,000 19%
< $6,000 13%
$27,832 Объем
$27,832 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$16,263 Объем
13%
$6,000–$6,500
$1,594 Объем
12%
$6,500–$7,000
$2,933 Объем
12%
$7,000–$7,500
$1,306 Объем
24%
$7,500–$8,000
$2,940 Объем
22%
>$8,000
$2,827 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."As of late May 2026, the S&P 500 trades near 7,519 amid 2026 analyst targets clustered between 7,100 and 8,000, aligning with the market-implied distribution favoring the $7,000–$7,500 range at 29%. Consensus 12–18% EPS growth, propelled by AI-driven tech earnings and resilient business investment, supports modest further gains to the 7,500–8,000 zone. Elevated core inflation near 2.6% and the Fed’s policy rate held at 3.50–3.75% introduce uncertainty, tempering expectations for aggressive rate cuts while capping downside from recession risks. Upcoming quarterly earnings and any FOMC signals on the path of monetary policy remain key swing factors for resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$27,832Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."As of late May 2026, the S&P 500 trades near 7,519 amid 2026 analyst targets clustered between 7,100 and 8,000, aligning with the market-implied distribution favoring the $7,000–$7,500 range at 29%. Consensus 12–18% EPS growth, propelled by AI-driven tech earnings and resilient business investment, supports modest further gains to the 7,500–8,000 zone. Elevated core inflation near 2.6% and the Fed’s policy rate held at 3.50–3.75% introduce uncertainty, tempering expectations for aggressive rate cuts while capping downside from recession risks. Upcoming quarterly earnings and any FOMC signals on the path of monetary policy remain key swing factors for resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$27,832Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of late May 2026, the S&P 500 trades near 7,519 amid 2026 analyst targets clustered between 7,100 and 8,000, aligning with the market-implied distribution favoring the $7,000–$7,500 range at 29%. Consensus 12–18% EPS growth, propelled by AI-driven tech earnings and resilient business investment, supports modest further gains to the 7,500–8,000 zone. Elevated core inflation near 2.6% and the Fed’s policy rate held at 3.50–3.75% introduce uncertainty, tempering expectations for aggressive rate cuts while capping downside from recession risks. Upcoming quarterly earnings and any FOMC signals on the path of monetary policy remain key swing factors for resolution probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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