Trader sentiment on Polymarket has priced the odds of silver (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31 at around 58% yes shares, primarily driven by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China’s stimulus measures, coupled with safe-haven inflows amid geopolitical tensions. Spot silver trades at $30.85, up 2.5% weekly, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar (DXY at 103.2) following softer inflation data. Key risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting or stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report on March 7, which could cap upside via higher real yields. Historical precedent shows silver rallying 15%+ in Q1 post-rate cut cycles, but trader consensus embeds 40% odds of sub-$31 consolidation if copper prices falter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,015,223 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,015,223 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket has priced the odds of silver (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31 at around 58% yes shares, primarily driven by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China’s stimulus measures, coupled with safe-haven inflows amid geopolitical tensions. Spot silver trades at $30.85, up 2.5% weekly, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar (DXY at 103.2) following softer inflation data. Key risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting or stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report on March 7, which could cap upside via higher real yields. Historical precedent shows silver rallying 15%+ in Q1 post-rate cut cycles, but trader consensus embeds 40% odds of sub-$31 consolidation if copper prices falter.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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