Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.8%) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and <$3,800 (16.4%) close behind, mirroring June futures trading near $4,520 amid March's 10% spot price drop to $4,430/oz. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%—citing steady February CPI at 2.4% YoY and Iran conflict inflation risks—has elevated real yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite safe-haven bids from geopolitics and central bank accumulation. Key swing factors include April 10 CPI data, May FOMC outlook for one 2026 cut, and de-dollarization flows; stronger U.S. dollar or delayed easing favors lower bins, while escalation tips upside.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
На что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
$4 200–$4 600 17.8%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
< $3,800 16.3%
$3,800–$4,200 16.0%
$841,657 Объем
$841,657 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
< $3,800
16%
$3,800–$4,200
16%
$4 200–$4 600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000–$5,400
13%
$5,400–$5,800
10%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6 200
8%
$4 200–$4 600 17.8%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
< $3,800 16.3%
$3,800–$4,200 16.0%
$841,657 Объем
$841,657 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
< $3,800
$215,182 Объем
16%
$3,800–$4,200
$37,626 Объем
16%
$4 200–$4 600
$43,791 Объем
18%
$4,600-$5,000
$36,814 Объем
17%
$5,000–$5,400
$46,443 Объем
13%
$5,400–$5,800
$42,422 Объем
10%
$5,800-$6,200
$239,823 Объем
6%
>$6 200
$179,556 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.8%) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and <$3,800 (16.4%) close behind, mirroring June futures trading near $4,520 amid March's 10% spot price drop to $4,430/oz. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%—citing steady February CPI at 2.4% YoY and Iran conflict inflation risks—has elevated real yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite safe-haven bids from geopolitics and central bank accumulation. Key swing factors include April 10 CPI data, May FOMC outlook for one 2026 cut, and de-dollarization flows; stronger U.S. dollar or delayed easing favors lower bins, while escalation tips upside.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Объем
$841,657Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.8%) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and <$3,800 (16.4%) close behind, mirroring June futures trading near $4,520 amid March's 10% spot price drop to $4,430/oz. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%—citing steady February CPI at 2.4% YoY and Iran conflict inflation risks—has elevated real yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite safe-haven bids from geopolitics and central bank accumulation. Key swing factors include April 10 CPI data, May FOMC outlook for one 2026 cut, and de-dollarization flows; stronger U.S. dollar or delayed easing favors lower bins, while escalation tips upside.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Объем
$841,657Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.8%) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and <$3,800 (16.4%) close behind, mirroring June futures trading near $4,520 amid March's 10% spot price drop to $4,430/oz. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%—citing steady February CPI at 2.4% YoY and Iran conflict inflation risks—has elevated real yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite safe-haven bids from geopolitics and central bank accumulation. Key swing factors include April 10 CPI data, May FOMC outlook for one 2026 cut, and de-dollarization flows; stronger U.S. dollar or delayed easing favors lower bins, while escalation tips upside.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы