Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects gold futures (GC) pricing in heightened safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold hovering near $2,650 per ounce following a 10% year-to-date gain driven by central bank purchases—particularly from China—and a weakening U.S. dollar. Real yields remain suppressed below 2%, supporting bullish sentiment, while Treasury yields have stabilized post-Fed signals of steady rates into mid-2025. Key swing factors include upcoming February CPI data release on March 12 and the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where any hawkish pivot could cap upside toward end-of-March targets; resolution hinges on COMEX settlement above the strike amid $100 billion in open interest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ конца марта?
Золото (GC) выше ___ конца марта?
$101,352 Объем
$7 000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6 000
2%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5 200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
14%
$4,600
36%
$4 400
59%
$4 000
96%
$101,352 Объем
$7 000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6 000
2%
$5,800
1%
$5,600
1%
$5,400
1%
$5 200
2%
$5,000
1%
$4,800
14%
$4,600
36%
$4 400
59%
$4 000
96%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects gold futures (GC) pricing in heightened safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflation pressures, with spot gold hovering near $2,650 per ounce following a 10% year-to-date gain driven by central bank purchases—particularly from China—and a weakening U.S. dollar. Real yields remain suppressed below 2%, supporting bullish sentiment, while Treasury yields have stabilized post-Fed signals of steady rates into mid-2025. Key swing factors include upcoming February CPI data release on March 12 and the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where any hawkish pivot could cap upside toward end-of-March targets; resolution hinges on COMEX settlement above the strike amid $100 billion in open interest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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