Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, propelled by the EIA's latest weekly report showing a surprise 4.2 million barrel inventory draw—double consensus estimates—amid robust Chinese manufacturing PMI rebound signaling stronger demand. Geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions have further lifted the June contract over 5% in the past week to near $81.50. The $77-$84 band at 15.5% reflects hedging against potential US economic softening and Fed policy impacts on fuel consumption, while sub-$70 outcomes trade below 20% combined due to tight global supply dynamics. Key catalysts include Thursday's EIA update and ongoing OPEC+ production compliance monitoring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
На что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
>$84 60%
$77-$84 15%
$70–$77 10.2%
$63-$70 9%
$84,741 Объем
$84,741 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
4%
$56–$63
6%
$63-$70
9%
$70–$77
10%
$77-$84
15%
>$84
60%
>$84 60%
$77-$84 15%
$70–$77 10.2%
$63-$70 9%
$84,741 Объем
$84,741 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
< $42
$3,457 Объем
1%
$42-$49
$2,772 Объем
1%
$49-$56
$4,146 Объем
4%
$56–$63
$3,407 Объем
6%
$63-$70
$15,860 Объем
9%
$70–$77
$4,296 Объем
10%
$77-$84
$7,093 Объем
15%
>$84
$43,710 Объем
60%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, propelled by the EIA's latest weekly report showing a surprise 4.2 million barrel inventory draw—double consensus estimates—amid robust Chinese manufacturing PMI rebound signaling stronger demand. Geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions have further lifted the June contract over 5% in the past week to near $81.50. The $77-$84 band at 15.5% reflects hedging against potential US economic softening and Fed policy impacts on fuel consumption, while sub-$70 outcomes trade below 20% combined due to tight global supply dynamics. Key catalysts include Thursday's EIA update and ongoing OPEC+ production compliance monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Объем
$84,741Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, propelled by the EIA's latest weekly report showing a surprise 4.2 million barrel inventory draw—double consensus estimates—amid robust Chinese manufacturing PMI rebound signaling stronger demand. Geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions have further lifted the June contract over 5% in the past week to near $81.50. The $77-$84 band at 15.5% reflects hedging against potential US economic softening and Fed policy impacts on fuel consumption, while sub-$70 outcomes trade below 20% combined due to tight global supply dynamics. Key catalysts include Thursday's EIA update and ongoing OPEC+ production compliance monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Объем
$84,741Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, propelled by the EIA's latest weekly report showing a surprise 4.2 million barrel inventory draw—double consensus estimates—amid robust Chinese manufacturing PMI rebound signaling stronger demand. Geopolitical risk premiums from Middle East tensions have further lifted the June contract over 5% in the past week to near $81.50. The $77-$84 band at 15.5% reflects hedging against potential US economic softening and Fed policy impacts on fuel consumption, while sub-$70 outcomes trade below 20% combined due to tight global supply dynamics. Key catalysts include Thursday's EIA update and ongoing OPEC+ production compliance monitoring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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