Polymarket traders express a fragmented consensus on June silver (SI) settlement, pricing sub-$50/oz highest at 19% implied probability amid spot prices hovering near $32 amid a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields following hawkish October FOMC minutes that scaled back aggressive rate-cut expectations. Competing $90-$100 (16%) and $60-$70 (14.5%) bins capture bullish supply deficits—global mine output lags 200M oz annual demand driven by solar panel and EV sectors—and gold's parallel rally on geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include Thursday's October CPI print and November 6-7 FOMC meeting; softer inflation could boost easing odds and propel futures from current June 2025 levels around $34, while sticky data favors the low-end anchor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
На что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
< $50 19%
$90–$100 15%
$60–$70 14.7%
$70–$80 14.0%
$432,705 Объем
$432,705 Объем
< $50
19%
$50-$60
11%
$60–$70
15%
$70–$80
14%
$80-$90
12%
$90–$100
15%
$100–$115
10%
>$115
13%
< $50 19%
$90–$100 15%
$60–$70 14.7%
$70–$80 14.0%
$432,705 Объем
$432,705 Объем
< $50
19%
$50-$60
11%
$60–$70
15%
$70–$80
14%
$80-$90
12%
$90–$100
15%
$100–$115
10%
>$115
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders express a fragmented consensus on June silver (SI) settlement, pricing sub-$50/oz highest at 19% implied probability amid spot prices hovering near $32 amid a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields following hawkish October FOMC minutes that scaled back aggressive rate-cut expectations. Competing $90-$100 (16%) and $60-$70 (14.5%) bins capture bullish supply deficits—global mine output lags 200M oz annual demand driven by solar panel and EV sectors—and gold's parallel rally on geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include Thursday's October CPI print and November 6-7 FOMC meeting; softer inflation could boost easing odds and propel futures from current June 2025 levels around $34, while sticky data favors the low-end anchor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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