Polymarket's trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability for March 2025 COMEX silver futures (SIH25) settling below $75/oz, anchored by current spot prices near $31.80/oz and SIH25 trading around $32.30, up over 35% year-to-date on surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and electronics amid China's economic stimulus measures. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have spurred safe-haven buying, pushing silver to 12-year highs last week, yet U.S. dollar resilience—bolstered by sticky inflation data—and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% constrain further upside, tempering bets on higher bins like $75-$80 at 9.8%. Watch January nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes for shifts in rate cut expectations influencing precious metals positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в марте?
На что рассчитается Silver (SI) в марте?
< $75 85%
$75–$80 8.1%
$80–$85 2.9%
$85-$90 1.9%
$234,328 Объем
$234,328 Объем
< $75
85%
$75–$80
8%
$80–$85
3%
$85-$90
2%
$90-$95
1%
$95-$100
<1%
$100-$105
<1%
$105–$110
<1%
$110-$115
<1%
>$115
<1%
< $75 85%
$75–$80 8.1%
$80–$85 2.9%
$85-$90 1.9%
$234,328 Объем
$234,328 Объем
< $75
85%
$75–$80
8%
$80–$85
3%
$85-$90
2%
$90-$95
1%
$95-$100
<1%
$100-$105
<1%
$105–$110
<1%
$110-$115
<1%
>$115
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability for March 2025 COMEX silver futures (SIH25) settling below $75/oz, anchored by current spot prices near $31.80/oz and SIH25 trading around $32.30, up over 35% year-to-date on surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and electronics amid China's economic stimulus measures. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have spurred safe-haven buying, pushing silver to 12-year highs last week, yet U.S. dollar resilience—bolstered by sticky inflation data—and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% constrain further upside, tempering bets on higher bins like $75-$80 at 9.8%. Watch January nonfarm payrolls and FOMC minutes for shifts in rate cut expectations influencing precious metals positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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