Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 43.5% implied probability for March silver (SI) futures settling at $75-$80, edging out 33.5% odds for below $75, amid competitive dynamics fueled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD and boosting precious metals as inflation hedges. Recent catalysts include surging industrial demand from solar energy and EV sectors—Silver Institute data shows persistent supply deficits—coupled with record COMEX ETF inflows pushing spot prices past $32/oz. Upside differentiation rests on softer CPI prints ahead of the March FOMC, potentially mirroring 2020's 50% rally, while hawkish surprises or equity selloffs could trigger pullbacks below $75, underscoring silver's dual role as industrial commodity and safe-haven asset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в марте?
На что рассчитается Silver (SI) в марте?
$75–$80 43.4%
< $75 31%
$80–$85 18.3%
$85-$90 6.6%
$175,157 Объем
$175,157 Объем
< $75
31%
$75–$80
43%
$80–$85
18%
$85-$90
7%
$90-$95
4%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
$105–$110
1%
$110-$115
1%
>$115
1%
$75–$80 43.4%
< $75 31%
$80–$85 18.3%
$85-$90 6.6%
$175,157 Объем
$175,157 Объем
< $75
31%
$75–$80
43%
$80–$85
18%
$85-$90
7%
$90-$95
4%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
$105–$110
1%
$110-$115
1%
>$115
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 43.5% implied probability for March silver (SI) futures settling at $75-$80, edging out 33.5% odds for below $75, amid competitive dynamics fueled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD and boosting precious metals as inflation hedges. Recent catalysts include surging industrial demand from solar energy and EV sectors—Silver Institute data shows persistent supply deficits—coupled with record COMEX ETF inflows pushing spot prices past $32/oz. Upside differentiation rests on softer CPI prints ahead of the March FOMC, potentially mirroring 2020's 50% rally, while hawkish surprises or equity selloffs could trigger pullbacks below $75, underscoring silver's dual role as industrial commodity and safe-haven asset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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