Polymarket traders assign modest odds to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, with Yes shares trading around 25%, reflecting spot prices near $24.80 amid USD strength and delayed Fed rate cuts. Primary catalysts include surging industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, pushing COMEX futures open interest higher, yet capped by 10-year Treasury yields above 4.2%. Recent Shanghai premiums signal tight physical supply, but macro headwinds dominate sentiment. Key watch: March 29 PCE inflation print—if below 0.3% m/m, it could lift rate-cut bets, catalyzing a breakout above $26 resistance. Historical end-March rallies average 2%, but consensus favors sub-$28 resolution absent surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,105,300 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
8%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
20%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,105,300 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
8%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ $60
20%
↓ $50
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign modest odds to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, with Yes shares trading around 25%, reflecting spot prices near $24.80 amid USD strength and delayed Fed rate cuts. Primary catalysts include surging industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, pushing COMEX futures open interest higher, yet capped by 10-year Treasury yields above 4.2%. Recent Shanghai premiums signal tight physical supply, but macro headwinds dominate sentiment. Key watch: March 29 PCE inflation print—if below 0.3% m/m, it could lift rate-cut bets, catalyzing a breakout above $26 resistance. Historical end-March rallies average 2%, but consensus favors sub-$28 resolution absent surprises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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