Polymarket traders price a modest probability for Gold (GC) futures hitting the target by March 31, driven primarily by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation, with the DXY dollar index near 106 exerting downward pressure on prices currently hovering around $2,670 per ounce. Sustained central bank buying from China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East bolster bullish sentiment, but real yields on 10-year TIPS above 2% cap upside. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI on March 12 and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could shift market-implied odds; a break above $2,750 would signal stronger trader consensus for resolution in favor of yes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДостигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
Достигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
$2,042,006 Объем
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
95%
↓ $4,300
29%
↓ $4,000
7%
↓ $3,600
2%
↓ $3 000
1%
$2,042,006 Объем
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
2%
↓ $4,500
95%
↓ $4,300
29%
↓ $4,000
7%
↓ $3,600
2%
↓ $3 000
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest probability for Gold (GC) futures hitting the target by March 31, driven primarily by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation, with the DXY dollar index near 106 exerting downward pressure on prices currently hovering around $2,670 per ounce. Sustained central bank buying from China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East bolster bullish sentiment, but real yields on 10-year TIPS above 2% cap upside. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI on March 12 and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could shift market-implied odds; a break above $2,750 would signal stronger trader consensus for resolution in favor of yes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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