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Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?

Market icon

Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$381,253 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$381,253 Объем

On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market.

Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$381,253
Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2025
Открытие рынка
Nov 22, 2024, 6:10 PM ET
On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market.

Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$381,253
Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2025
Открытие рынка
Nov 22, 2024, 6:10 PM ET
On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?" has generated $381.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.