Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to the Austin-Round Rock metro median home value falling in the 415,000-420,000 range on April 1, 2026, driven by Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) update showing typical values around $419,500-$424,600 as of late February amid a 5.9% year-over-year decline. This positioning reflects ongoing housing market correction from elevated inventory levels—up significantly in recent months—and persistent 6-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand following the post-pandemic boom. Key catalysts include softer tech sector job growth and increased new construction supply. Realistic challenges would require a surprise upward revision in Zillow's smoothed ZHVI methodology or redefinition of the metro boundaries, though such shifts are improbable given data stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакова будет средняя стоимость жилья в районе Остина, штат Техас, 1 апреля?
Какова будет средняя стоимость жилья в районе Остина, штат Техас, 1 апреля?
415 - 420 тыс. 99.2%
<400 тыс. <1%
400 - 405 тыс. <1%
405 - 410 тыс. <1%
$16,488 Объем
$16,488 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
<400 тыс.
<1%
400 - 405 тыс.
<1%
405 - 410 тыс.
<1%
410–415 тыс.
<1%
415 - 420 тыс.
99%
420 - 425 тыс.
<1%
>425 тыс.
<1%
415 - 420 тыс. 99.2%
<400 тыс. <1%
400 - 405 тыс. <1%
405 - 410 тыс. <1%
$16,488 Объем
$16,488 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
<400 тыс.
$666 Объем
<1%
400 - 405 тыс.
$879 Объем
<1%
405 - 410 тыс.
$2,462 Объем
<1%
410–415 тыс.
$4,152 Объем
<1%
415 - 420 тыс.
$2,887 Объем
99%
420 - 425 тыс.
$1,385 Объем
<1%
>425 тыс.
$4,110 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to the Austin-Round Rock metro median home value falling in the 415,000-420,000 range on April 1, 2026, driven by Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) update showing typical values around $419,500-$424,600 as of late February amid a 5.9% year-over-year decline. This positioning reflects ongoing housing market correction from elevated inventory levels—up significantly in recent months—and persistent 6-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand following the post-pandemic boom. Key catalysts include softer tech sector job growth and increased new construction supply. Realistic challenges would require a surprise upward revision in Zillow's smoothed ZHVI methodology or redefinition of the metro boundaries, though such shifts are improbable given data stability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$16,488Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to the Austin-Round Rock metro median home value falling in the 415,000-420,000 range on April 1, 2026, driven by Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) update showing typical values around $419,500-$424,600 as of late February amid a 5.9% year-over-year decline. This positioning reflects ongoing housing market correction from elevated inventory levels—up significantly in recent months—and persistent 6-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand following the post-pandemic boom. Key catalysts include softer tech sector job growth and increased new construction supply. Realistic challenges would require a surprise upward revision in Zillow's smoothed ZHVI methodology or redefinition of the metro boundaries, though such shifts are improbable given data stability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Объем
$16,488Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to the Austin-Round Rock metro median home value falling in the 415,000-420,000 range on April 1, 2026, driven by Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) update showing typical values around $419,500-$424,600 as of late February amid a 5.9% year-over-year decline. This positioning reflects ongoing housing market correction from elevated inventory levels—up significantly in recent months—and persistent 6-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand following the post-pandemic boom. Key catalysts include softer tech sector job growth and increased new construction supply. Realistic challenges would require a surprise upward revision in Zillow's smoothed ZHVI methodology or redefinition of the metro boundaries, though such shifts are improbable given data stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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