US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 75%
February 7 1.9%
February 28 1.8%
February 14 1.6%
$3,906,324 Объем
$3,906,324 Объем
January 2026
$188,427 Объем
<1%
January 2026
$188,427 Объем
<1%
February 1
$840,312 Объем
<1%
February 1
$840,312 Объем
<1%
February 2
$249,637 Объем
<1%
February 2
$249,637 Объем
<1%
February 3
$162,060 Объем
1%
February 3
$162,060 Объем
1%
February 4
$120,174 Объем
1%
February 4
$120,174 Объем
1%
February 5
$109,336 Объем
1%
February 5
$109,336 Объем
1%
February 6
$115,101 Объем
1%
February 6
$115,101 Объем
1%
February 7
$86,575 Объем
2%
February 7
$86,575 Объем
2%
February 8
$99,379 Объем
1%
February 8
$99,379 Объем
1%
February 9
$79,953 Объем
1%
February 9
$79,953 Объем
1%
February 10
$77,922 Объем
1%
February 10
$77,922 Объем
1%
February 11
$76,947 Объем
1%
February 11
$76,947 Объем
1%
February 12
$72,501 Объем
1%
February 12
$72,501 Объем
1%
February 13
$76,207 Объем
2%
February 13
$76,207 Объем
2%
February 14
$86,768 Объем
2%
February 14
$86,768 Объем
2%
February 15
$95,303 Объем
1%
February 15
$95,303 Объем
1%
February 16
$82,540 Объем
1%
February 16
$82,540 Объем
1%
February 17
$95,693 Объем
1%
February 17
$95,693 Объем
1%
February 18
$90,768 Объем
1%
February 18
$90,768 Объем
1%
February 19
$97,804 Объем
1%
February 19
$97,804 Объем
1%
February 20
$77,002 Объем
1%
February 20
$77,002 Объем
1%
February 21
$80,866 Объем
1%
February 21
$80,866 Объем
1%
February 22
$92,141 Объем
1%
February 22
$92,141 Объем
1%
February 23
$96,538 Объем
1%
February 23
$96,538 Объем
1%
February 24
$96,207 Объем
1%
February 24
$96,207 Объем
1%
February 25
$103,318 Объем
1%
February 25
$103,318 Объем
1%
February 26
$110,822 Объем
1%
February 26
$110,822 Объем
1%
February 27
$98,724 Объем
1%
February 27
$98,724 Объем
1%
February 28
$108,827 Объем
2%
February 28
$108,827 Объем
2%
No strike by February 28
$138,595 Объем
75%
No strike by February 28
$138,595 Объем
75%
Правила
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Дата создания: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 75%
February 7 1.9%
February 28 1.8%
February 14 1.6%
$3,906,324 Объем
$3,906,324 Объем
January 2026
<1%
February 1
<1%
February 2
<1%
February 3
1%
February 4
1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
1%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
75%
О нас
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.