US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 77%
February 7 1.9%
February 13 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,355,079 Объем
$5,355,079 Объем
February 1
$889,852 Объем
<1%
February 1
$889,852 Объем
<1%
February 2
$390,953 Объем
<1%
February 2
$390,953 Объем
<1%
February 3
$304,147 Объем
<1%
February 3
$304,147 Объем
<1%
February 4
$205,182 Объем
1%
February 4
$205,182 Объем
1%
February 5
$164,847 Объем
1%
February 5
$164,847 Объем
1%
February 6
$183,417 Объем
1%
February 6
$183,417 Объем
1%
February 7
$140,003 Объем
2%
February 7
$140,003 Объем
2%
February 8
$150,747 Объем
1%
February 8
$150,747 Объем
1%
February 9
$128,918 Объем
1%
February 9
$128,918 Объем
1%
February 10
$122,974 Объем
1%
February 10
$122,974 Объем
1%
February 11
$124,620 Объем
1%
February 11
$124,620 Объем
1%
February 12
$105,799 Объем
1%
February 12
$105,799 Объем
1%
February 13
$158,789 Объем
2%
February 13
$158,789 Объем
2%
February 14
$111,249 Объем
2%
February 14
$111,249 Объем
2%
February 15
$124,910 Объем
1%
February 15
$124,910 Объем
1%
February 16
$113,778 Объем
1%
February 16
$113,778 Объем
1%
February 17
$128,913 Объем
1%
February 17
$128,913 Объем
1%
February 18
$123,533 Объем
1%
February 18
$123,533 Объем
1%
February 19
$125,001 Объем
1%
February 19
$125,001 Объем
1%
February 20
$99,790 Объем
1%
February 20
$99,790 Объем
1%
February 21
$105,489 Объем
1%
February 21
$105,489 Объем
1%
February 22
$119,904 Объем
1%
February 22
$119,904 Объем
1%
February 23
$120,733 Объем
1%
February 23
$120,733 Объем
1%
February 24
$128,289 Объем
1%
February 24
$128,289 Объем
1%
February 25
$125,902 Объем
1%
February 25
$125,902 Объем
1%
February 26
$147,990 Объем
1%
February 26
$147,990 Объем
1%
February 27
$126,094 Объем
1%
February 27
$126,094 Объем
1%
February 28
$137,998 Объем
2%
February 28
$137,998 Объем
2%
No strike by February 28
$180,636 Объем
77%
No strike by February 28
$180,636 Объем
77%
Правила
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Дата создания: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 77%
February 7 1.9%
February 13 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,355,079 Объем
$5,355,079 Объем
February 1
<1%
February 2
<1%
February 3
<1%
February 4
1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
1%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
77%
О нас
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.