Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.8%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$1,255,780 Объем
$1,255,780 Объем
Oct 11, 2024
Trump lead
No
Harris by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
No
Harris by 1-1.4
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
No
Harris by 2.5-2.9
No
Harris by 3-3.4
No
Harris by 3.5+
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.8%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$1,255,780 Объем
$1,255,780 Объем
Oct 11, 2024
Trump lead
$313,822 Объем
No
Harris by 0-0.4
$51,150 Объем
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
$43,965 Объем
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$82,695 Объем
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$69,701 Объем
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
$75,990 Объем
No
Harris by 2.5-2.9
$68,532 Объем
No
Harris by 3-3.4
$63,324 Объем
No
Harris by 3.5+
$486,601 Объем
No
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 11, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 11, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 11, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 11, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 11, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 11, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 11, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 11, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Дата создания: Sep 30, 2024, 11:26 AM ET
Объем
$1,255,780Дата окончания
Oct 11, 2024Дата создания
Sep 30, 2024, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No

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