Market icon
Финансы·SPX

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Market icon
Финансы·SPX

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,388 Объем

Polymarket

↑ $9,300

$0 Объем

6%

↑ $8 600

$0 Объем

9%

↑ $8,200

$0 Объем

13%

↑ 7 800 $

$328 Объем

27%

↑ $7,600

$0 Объем

37%

↑ $7,400

$0 Объем

39%

↓ $6,400

$1,490 Объем

96%

↓ $6,200

$1,308 Объем

83%

↓ $5 800

$1,307 Объем

74%

↓ $5 200

$2,955 Объем

44%

↓ $4,500

$0 Объем

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$7,388
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «↓ $6,600» с 100%, за ним следует «↓ $6,400» с 96%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jan 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — «↓ $6,600» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «↓ $6,400» с 96%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.