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Финансы·SPX

Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале

Market icon
Финансы·SPX

Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале

$322,437 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$322,437 Объем

Polymarket

Рост на 5%

$22,985 Объем

1%

Рост на 4%

$13,044 Объем

2%

Рост на 3%

$5,549 Объем

4%

Рост на 2%

$14,436 Объем

24%

Потеря 3%

$26,071 Объем

5%

Потеря 4%

$27,046 Объем

5%

Потеря 5%

$174,270 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) decreases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage loss of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage loss of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).With Q1 2026 drawing to a close on March 31, the S&P 500's largest single-day gain remains +2.00% on February 6, rebounding from a policy-driven dip, while the deepest loss is -2.07% on January 20 amid early-year profit-taking. Elevated volatility persists, with the VIX spiking to 31.05 on March 27—well above its 15-20 historical average—fueled by a five-week losing streak, quarter-to-date decline of nearly 7%, and recent plunges of -1.74% on March 26 and -1.67% on March 27 triggered by Iran conflict-driven oil surges. Traders monitor March PCE inflation data and quarter-end rebalancing for potential final-session catalysts that could alter peak moves before resolution.

With Q1 2026 drawing to a close on March 31, the S&P 500's largest single-day gain remains +2.00% on February 6, rebounding from a policy-driven dip, while the deepest loss is -2.07% on January 20 amid early-year profit-taking. Elevated volatility persists, with the VIX spiking to 31.05 on March 27—well above its 15-20 historical average—fueled by a five-week losing streak, quarter-to-date decline of nearly 7%, and recent plunges of -1.74% on March 26 and -1.67% on March 27 triggered by Iran conflict-driven oil surges. Traders monitor March PCE inflation data and quarter-end rebalancing for potential final-session catalysts that could alter peak moves before resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) decreases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage loss of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage loss of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).With Q1 2026 drawing to a close on March 31, the S&P 500's largest single-day gain remains +2.00% on February 6, rebounding from a policy-driven dip, while the deepest loss is -2.07% on January 20 amid early-year profit-taking. Elevated volatility persists, with the VIX spiking to 31.05 on March 27—well above its 15-20 historical average—fueled by a five-week losing streak, quarter-to-date decline of nearly 7%, and recent plunges of -1.74% on March 26 and -1.67% on March 27 triggered by Iran conflict-driven oil surges. Traders monitor March PCE inflation data and quarter-end rebalancing for potential final-session catalysts that could alter peak moves before resolution.

With Q1 2026 drawing to a close on March 31, the S&P 500's largest single-day gain remains +2.00% on February 6, rebounding from a policy-driven dip, while the deepest loss is -2.07% on January 20 amid early-year profit-taking. Elevated volatility persists, with the VIX spiking to 31.05 on March 27—well above its 15-20 historical average—fueled by a five-week losing streak, quarter-to-date decline of nearly 7%, and recent plunges of -1.74% on March 26 and -1.67% on March 27 triggered by Iran conflict-driven oil surges. Traders monitor March PCE inflation data and quarter-end rebalancing for potential final-session catalysts that could alter peak moves before resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Рост на 1%» с 100%, за ним следует «Потеря 1%» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $322.4K с момента запуска рынка Jan 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» — «Рост на 1%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Потеря 1%» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.