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Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур

Market icon

Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур

Сегуру 30–40% 100.0%

Сегуру 50%+ <1%

Сегуру 40–50% <1%

Сегуру 20–30% <1%

Polymarket

$3,066,158 Объем

Сегуру 30–40% 100.0%

Сегуру 50%+ <1%

Сегуру 40–50% <1%

Сегуру 20–30% <1%

Polymarket

$3,066,158 Объем

Сегуру 50%+

$389,880 Объем

Нет

Сегуру 40–50%

$597,921 Объем

Нет

Сегуру 30–40%

$342,579 Объем

Да

Сегуру 20–30%

$577,053 Объем

Нет

Сегуру 10–20%

$452,188 Объем

Нет

Сегуру 0–10%

$373,036 Объем

Нет

Победа Вентуры

$333,501 Объем

Нет

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Объем
$3,066,158
Дата окончания
Feb 8, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Предложенный исход: Нет

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Сегуру 30–40%" at 100%, followed by "Сегуру 50%+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур" is "Сегуру 30–40%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Сегуру 50%+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Маржа победы на президентских выборах в Португалии: второй тур" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.