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Pakistan military strike on India in May?

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Pakistan military strike on India in May?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$833,754 Объем

>99% chance
Polymarket

$833,754 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 6 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory.

Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution.

The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$833,754
Дата окончания
May 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
May 6, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 6 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory. Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution. The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 6 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory.

Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution.

The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$833,754
Дата окончания
May 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
May 6, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 6 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory. Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution. The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pakistan military strike on India in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pakistan military strike on India in May?" has generated $833.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pakistan military strike on India in May?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Pakistan military strike on India in May?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Pakistan military strike on India in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.