Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 1 at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting recent daily throughput patterns amid spring break and pre-Easter travel demand. TSA data through March 30 shows weekday volumes averaging around 2.5-2.6 million, with Tuesdays notably lower—such as 2.19 million on March 24—coupled with year-over-year declines of over 12%. Ongoing government funding lapse has triggered TSA staffing shortages and record security wait times up to four hours at major airports, prompting surveys indicating one in three travelers delaying trips. Despite airlines projecting record 2.8 million daily averages for March-April, actual screenings lag, positioning lower bins as leading outcomes ahead of official April 1 data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<2.4M 51%
2.4M-2.6M 7%
2.6M-2.8M 1.2%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$8,188 Объем
$8,188 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
<2.4M
51%
2.4M-2.6M
7%
2.6M-2.8M
1%
2.8M-3.0M
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
<1%
>3.2M
<1%
<2.4M 51%
2.4M-2.6M 7%
2.6M-2.8M 1.2%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$8,188 Объем
$8,188 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
<2.4M
$1,784 Объем
51%
2.4M-2.6M
$636 Объем
7%
2.6M-2.8M
$1,078 Объем
1%
2.8M-3.0M
$1,928 Объем
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
$1,209 Объем
<1%
>3.2M
$1,553 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 1 at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting recent daily throughput patterns amid spring break and pre-Easter travel demand. TSA data through March 30 shows weekday volumes averaging around 2.5-2.6 million, with Tuesdays notably lower—such as 2.19 million on March 24—coupled with year-over-year declines of over 12%. Ongoing government funding lapse has triggered TSA staffing shortages and record security wait times up to four hours at major airports, prompting surveys indicating one in three travelers delaying trips. Despite airlines projecting record 2.8 million daily averages for March-April, actual screenings lag, positioning lower bins as leading outcomes ahead of official April 1 data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Объем
$8,188Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 1 at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting recent daily throughput patterns amid spring break and pre-Easter travel demand. TSA data through March 30 shows weekday volumes averaging around 2.5-2.6 million, with Tuesdays notably lower—such as 2.19 million on March 24—coupled with year-over-year declines of over 12%. Ongoing government funding lapse has triggered TSA staffing shortages and record security wait times up to four hours at major airports, prompting surveys indicating one in three travelers delaying trips. Despite airlines projecting record 2.8 million daily averages for March-April, actual screenings lag, positioning lower bins as leading outcomes ahead of official April 1 data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$8,188Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 1 at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting recent daily throughput patterns amid spring break and pre-Easter travel demand. TSA data through March 30 shows weekday volumes averaging around 2.5-2.6 million, with Tuesdays notably lower—such as 2.19 million on March 24—coupled with year-over-year declines of over 12%. Ongoing government funding lapse has triggered TSA staffing shortages and record security wait times up to four hours at major airports, prompting surveys indicating one in three travelers delaying trips. Despite airlines projecting record 2.8 million daily averages for March-April, actual screenings lag, positioning lower bins as leading outcomes ahead of official April 1 data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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