Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM 42%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 23%
Starmer - UK PM 11%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 5.0%
$25,759 Объем
$25,759 Объем
Orbán - Hungary PM
42%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
23%
Starmer - UK PM
11%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
5%
Trump - USA President
5%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Abbas - President of Palestine
4%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Newsom - California Governor
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM 42%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 23%
Starmer - UK PM 11%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 5.0%
$25,759 Объем
$25,759 Объем
Orbán - Hungary PM
42%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
23%
Starmer - UK PM
11%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
5%
Trump - USA President
5%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Abbas - President of Palestine
4%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Newsom - California Governor
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
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