Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District due to her established base, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL party endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who announced her bid in 2025, has raised far less and remains a distant second in trader assessments. Multiple other candidates have filed but show minimal traction. The wide gap in implied probabilities reflects standard advantages for sitting representatives in safely Democratic districts, with the August primary serving as the key resolution trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель праймериз демократов MN-05
Победитель праймериз демократов MN-05
$26,085 Объем
$26,085 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар
89%
Латонья Ривз
9%
$26,085 Объем
$26,085 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар
$20,799 Объем
89%
Латонья Ривз
$5,286 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District due to her established base, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL party endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who announced her bid in 2025, has raised far less and remains a distant second in trader assessments. Multiple other candidates have filed but show minimal traction. The wide gap in implied probabilities reflects standard advantages for sitting representatives in safely Democratic districts, with the August primary serving as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Объем
$26,085Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District due to her established base, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL party endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who announced her bid in 2025, has raised far less and remains a distant second in trader assessments. Multiple other candidates have filed but show minimal traction. The wide gap in implied probabilities reflects standard advantages for sitting representatives in safely Democratic districts, with the August primary serving as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$26,085Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District due to her established base, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL party endorsement secured in May. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who announced her bid in 2025, has raised far less and remains a distant second in trader assessments. Multiple other candidates have filed but show minimal traction. The wide gap in implied probabilities reflects standard advantages for sitting representatives in safely Democratic districts, with the August primary serving as the key resolution trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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