Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель праймериз демократов MN-05
Победитель праймериз демократов MN-05
$24,306 Объем
$24,306 Объем
Ильхан Омар
84%
Латонья Ривз
14%
$24,306 Объем
$24,306 Объем
Ильхан Омар
84%
Латонья Ривз
14%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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