With Hungary's parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, recent opinion polls from late March show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party leading Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 9-19 points among likely voters, per independent firms like Publicus and Závecz Research, reflecting Tisza's gains among young voters and in Fidesz strongholds. Mi Hazánk polls around the 5% national list threshold required for single parties to secure compensatory seats, while DK, Momentum, and LMP trail below it. The mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post single-member constituencies plus 93 proportional list seats—favors district winners with bonus mandates, heightening uncertainty on final parliamentary entry despite national vote trends. Final rallies and turnout will be pivotal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$78,923 Объем

Mi Hazánk
77%

MKKP
4%

DK
4%
$78,923 Объем

Mi Hazánk
77%

MKKP
4%

DK
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, recent opinion polls from late March show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party leading Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 9-19 points among likely voters, per independent firms like Publicus and Závecz Research, reflecting Tisza's gains among young voters and in Fidesz strongholds. Mi Hazánk polls around the 5% national list threshold required for single parties to secure compensatory seats, while DK, Momentum, and LMP trail below it. The mixed electoral system—106 first-past-the-post single-member constituencies plus 93 proportional list seats—favors district winners with bonus mandates, heightening uncertainty on final parliamentary entry despite national vote trends. Final rallies and turnout will be pivotal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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